Three-circle, red-on-white is one distinctive pattern painted on ceramic vessels of the Anasazi period found at an archaeological site. At one excavation, a sample of 181 potsherds indicated that 66were of the three-circle, red-on-white pattern.
(a) Find a point estimate p̂ for the proportion of all
ceramic potsherds at this site that are of the three-circle,
red-on-white pattern. (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
(b) Compute a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion
p of all ceramic potsherds with this distinctive pattern
found at the site. (Round your answers to three decimal
places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
Solution :
Given that,
(a)
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 66 / 181 = 0.3646
1 - = 1 - 0.3646 = 0.6354
Z/2 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 * (((0.3646 * 0.6346) / 181)
Margin of error = E = 0.070
(b)
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.3646 - 0.070 < p < 0.3646 + 0.070
0.295 < p < 0.435
Lower limit: 0.295
Upper limit: 0.435
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