Three-circle, red-on-white is one distinctive pattern painted on ceramic vessels of the Anasazi period found at an archaeological site. At one excavation, a sample of 161 potsherds indicated that 66 were of the three-circle, red-on-white pattern.
(a) Find a point estimate p̂ for the proportion of all
ceramic potsherds at this site that are of the three-circle,
red-on-white pattern. (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
(b) Compute a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion
p of all ceramic potsherds with this distinctive pattern
found at the site. (Round your answers to three decimal
places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
ANSWER:
Given that,
Sample size (n) = 161
x = No. of successes = No. of potsherds of three-circle, red-on-white pattern =66
a)
= x / n = 66 / 161 = 0.4099
1 - = 1 - 0.4099 = 0.5901
b)
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 * (((0.4099 * 0.5901) / 161)
= 0..0759
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.4099 - 0.0759 < p < 0.4099 + 0.0759
0.334 < p < 0.486
Lower limit = 0.334
Upper limit = 0.486
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