Three-circle, red-on-white is one distinctive pattern painted on ceramic vessels of the Anasazi period found at an archaeological site. At one excavation, a sample of 167 potsherds indicated that 76 were of the three-circle, red-on-white pattern.
(a) Find a point estimate p̂ for the proportion of all
ceramic potsherds at this site that are of the three-circle,
red-on-white pattern. (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
____________
(b) Compute a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion
p of all ceramic potsherds with this distinctive pattern
found at the site. (Round your answers to three decimal
places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
Solution :
Given that,
n = 167
x = 76
a) Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 76 /167 = 0.4551
1 - = 1 -0.4551 = 0.5449
b) At 95% confidence level
= 1-0.95% =1-0.95 =0.05
/2
=0.05/ 2= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.960
Z/2 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.960 * ((0.4551*(0.5449) /167 )
= 0.076
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.4551 - 0.076 < p < 0.4551 +0.076
0.379 < p < 0.531
(0.379 , 0.531 )
Lower limit = 0.379
Upper limit = 0.531
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