Consider the statement, "The probability that an individual wins the lottery is one in a million." (a) provide an interpretation for the statement in terms of the symmetry definition of probability. If you are unable to do so , explain. (b) Provide an interpretation for the statement in term of the frequency definition of probability. If you are unable to do so , explain.
Answer :
Given statement is :
The probability that an individual wins the lottery is one in a million.
a)
In terms of the symmetry definition of probability :
If there are 1 million outcomes,that is equally likely to occur.
therefore,
probability P(E) = 1 / million
Where E = Event of an individual wins the lottery.
b)
In term of the frequency definition of probability :
Using classical definition :
P(E) = Frequency(X) / Million
= 1 / million.
Where X = No.of individuals wins out of one million.
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