2. Assume that human body temperatures are normally distributed
with a mean of 98.22°F and a standard deviation of 0.62°F.
Part 1:
A hospital uses 100.6°F as the lowest temperature considered to be
a fever. What percentage of normal and healthy persons would be
considered to have a fever?
The percentage of normal and healthy persons considered to have a
fever is___?___ .
(Round answer to nearest hundredth of a percent - i.e.
23.34%)
Does this percentage suggest that a cutoff of 100.6°F is
appropriate? Enter the letter of the statement that best answers
the question
A. No, because there is a large probability that
a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a
fever.
B. Yes, because there is a large probability that
a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a
fever.
C. No, because there is a small probability that
a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a
fever.
D. Yes, because there is a small probability that
a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a
fever.
Part 2:
Physicians want to select a minimum temperature for requiring
further medical tests. What should that temperature be, if we want
only 5.0% of healthy people to exceed it? (Such a result is a
false positive, meaning that the test result is positive, but the
subject is not really sick.)
The minimum temperature for requiring further medical tests should
be___?___ °F if we want only 5.0% of healthy
people to exceed it.
(Round to two decimal places as needed.)
Normal distribution: P(X < A) = P(Z < (A - mean)/standard deviation)
Mean = 98.22 oF
Standard deviation = 0.62 oF
Part 1
P(X > 100.6) = 1 - P(X < 100.6)
= 1 - P(Z < (100.6 - 98.22)/0.62)
= 1 - P(Z < 3.84)
= 1 - 0.9999
= 0.0001
The percentage of normal and healthy persons considered to have a fever is 0.01
D. Yes, because there is a small probability that a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a fever
Part 2
Let the minimum temperature for requiring further medical tests be M
P(X > M) = 0.05
P(X < M) = 0.95
P(Z < (M - 98.22)/0.62) = 0.95
Take Z value corresponding to 0.95 from standard normal distribution table
(M - 98.22)/0.62 = 1.645
M = 99.24oF
The minimum temperature for requiring further medical tests should be 99.24 °F if we want only 5.0% of healthy people to exceed it
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