Here is the ORIGINAL data of the Sporthotel problem: 1. Projected outflows First year (Purchase Right, Land, and Permits) $1,000,000 Second Year (Construct building shell $2,000,000 Third Year: (Finish interior and furnishings) $2,000,000 TOTAL $5,000,000 2. Projected inflows If the franchise is granted hotel will be worth: $8,000,000 when it opened If the franchise is denied hotel will be worth: $2,000,000 when it opened. The probability of the city being awarded the franchise is 50%. Suppose that everything is the same as in that problem except one thing: the worth of the hotel, should the city be awarded the franchise, is not $8 million but some unknown smaller number. What must the new worth of the hotel when the franchise is granted be in order for the NPV of the Sporthotel project to be equal to exactly zero?
a. |
The value of the hotel should the city be awarded the franchise = $7 million |
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b. |
The value of the hotel should the city be awarded the franchise = $5 million |
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c. |
The value of the hotel should the city be awarded the franchise = $0 million |
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d. |
The value of the hotel should the city be awarded the franchise = $6 million |
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e. |
The value of the hotel should the city be awarded the franchise = $4 million |
Solution:-
b. The value of the hotel should the city be awarded the franchise = $5 million
Explanation:-
You will get to know about the decision of the hotel after 1st year when all the Permits & Rights are purchased. If the franchise is denied the hotel, you will not go ahead and build anything because the benefits are lower than the costs.
Hence NPV = -1000000 + 0.5*(Worth of Hotel - 3000000) + 0.5*Worth of Second option
Worth of Second Option = 0
Now, for NPV to be zero
1000000 = 0.5*(Worth of Hotel - 3000000)
Worth of Hotel = $5,000,000
Ans is $5,000,000
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