According to Okun's Law (and a natural rate of unemployment at 4.8%) if unemployment is 6.8% what do we expect the GDP Gap to be?
Please Note: We are assuming GDP is slightly lower than it actually is as we are ignoring the last $600 B of GDP and estimating U.S. GDP at $20 Trillion (you may be asked a question like this one on your exam)
$600 Billion |
$400 Billion |
$2 Trillion |
$1 Trillion |
$800 Billion |
$200 Billion |
According to okun law, if unemployment is 1percentage point above the natural rate, the output is 2 percentage point below the potential output.
Actual unemployment is 6.8%.
Natural rate of unemployment is 4.8%.
Since, actual unemployment is 2 percentage point above the natural rate of unemployment.
It means the actual output would be 4 percentage point below the potential output or there will be GDP gap of 4 percentage.
GDP gap = (0.04) * (20 trillion)
GDP gap = 0.8 trillion.
GDP gap = 800 billion
So, the correct answer is an option (e).
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