According to an almanac, 60% of adult smokers started smoking before turning 18 years old. (a) If 100 adult smokers are randomly selected, how many would we expect to have started smoking before turning 18 years old? (b) Would it be unusual to observe 80 smokers who started smoking before turning 18 years old in a random sample of 100 adult smokers? Why?
A- We would expect about ____adult smokers to have started smoking before turning 18 years old.
B-Would it be unusual to observe 80 smokers who started smoking before turning 18 years old in a random sample of 100 adult smokers?
A. No, because 80 is greater than mu plus 2 sigma .
B. Yes, because 80 is between mu minus 2 sigma and mu plus 2 sigma.
C. No, because 80 is between mu minus 2 sigma and mu plus 2 sigma .
D. Yes, because 80 is greater than mu plus 2 sigma .
E. No, because 80 is less than mu minus 2 sigma.
Let p , Probability of success that adult smokers start smoking before 18 be 0.6 (60% given).
Now n = 100.
A) Expected Value = np
= 100(0.6)
= 60 adult smokers.
We would expect about 60 adult smokers to have started smoking before turning 18 years old.
B ) Mean = 60
Standard deviation =
=
=
standard deviation = 4.9 (approx)
Now , = 60 +/- 2(4.9)
= 60 +/- 9.8
= (50.2 , 69.8)
Thus, 80 is unusual.
Ans. D. Yes , because 80 is greater than mu plus 2 sigma.
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