7. Imagine you are in a game show. There are 10 prizes hidden on a game board with 100 spaces. One prize is worth $50, three are worth $20, and another six are worth $10. You have to pay $5 to the host if your choice is not correct. Let the random variable x be the winning.
x |
P(x) |
-$5 |
|
$10 |
|
$20 |
|
$50 |
The probability distribution of X winning amount
X P( X )
-$5 90/100
$10 6/100
$20 3/100
$50 1/100
a) expected winning or loss
E( X ) = X * P( X )
= (-5)*(90/100) + 10*(6/100) + 20*(3/100) + 50*(1/100)
E( X) = -4.5 + 0.6 + 0.6 + 0.5 = -2.80
Expected loss = $ 2.80
b) standard deviation = sqrt [ E(X2) - (E( X))2]
E( X2) = 25*(90/100) + 100*(6/100) + 400*(3/100) +2500*(1/100) = 65.5
Standard deviation = sqrt [ 65.5 - 2.802]
Standard deviation = 7.59
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