In a test for ESP, a subject tries to identify what is on the back of a card. The experimenter can see the back, but the subject cannot. The cards contain either a star, a circle, a wave, a square, or an X. Each of these options is equally likely and the selection is random. A subject looks at 100 cards, and correctly identifies 30 of them. What is the probability of doing so, given that ESP doesn’t exist?
Probability calculation by binomial probability distribution.
Here required probability is 0.00519
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