The number of hits to a website follows a Poisson process. Hits occur at the rate of 1.8 per minute between 7:00 P.M. and 9:00 P.M. Given below are three scenarios for the number of hits to the website. Compute the probability of each scenario between 7 : 43 P.M. and 7:48 P.M.
Interpret each result.
(a) exactly eight (
b) fewer than eight
(c) at least eight
(a) P(8) =______ (Round to four decimal places as needed.)
(b) P (fewer than 8) = _______(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
(c) P (at least 8) = _______(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
First we calculate hit rate between 7:43 .P.M and 7:48 P.M. ( 5 minutes )
Given hit rate = 1.8 per minute
In five minutes, hit rate = 1.8 x 5 = 9 hits
Using the above formula, we calculate the following probabilities;
a)
There is 13.18% chance that exactly 8 hits between 7:43 .P.M and 7:48 P.M.
b)
= 0.3239
There is 32.39% chance that less than 8 hits between 7:43 .P.M and 7:48 P.M.
c)
= 0.6761
There is 67.61% chance that at least 8 hits between 7:43 .P.M and 7:48 P.M.
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