An investigator analyzed the leading digits from
792
checks issued by seven suspect companies. The frequencies were found to be 44,13,55,71,483,175,55,19 and 17,
and those digits correspond to the leading digits of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, and 9, respectively. If the observed frequencies are substantially different from the frequencies expected with Benford's law shown below, the check amounts appear to result from fraud. Use a
0.025
significance level to test for goodness-of-fit withBenford's law. Does it appear that the checks are the result of fraud?
Leading Digit |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual Frequency |
44 |
13 |
55 |
71 |
483 |
175 |
55 |
19 |
17 |
|
Benford's Law: Distribution of Leading Digits |
30.1% |
17.6% |
12.5% |
9.7% |
7.9% |
6.7% |
5.8% |
5.1% |
4.6% |
Calculate the test statistic,chi squaredχ2.
(Note : here total number of checks issued are 932 while above given is 792 ; please revert)
Applying chi square goodness of fit test:
relative | observed | Expected | residual | Chi square | |
category | frequency | Oi | Ei=total*p | R2i=(Oi-Ei)/√Ei | R2i=(Oi-Ei)2/Ei |
1 | 0.301 | 44 | 280.53 | -14.12 | 199.433 |
2 | 0.176 | 13 | 164.03 | -11.79 | 139.062 |
3 | 0.125 | 55 | 116.50 | -5.70 | 32.466 |
4 | 0.097 | 71 | 90.40 | -2.04 | 4.165 |
5 | 0.079 | 483 | 73.63 | 47.71 | 2276.110 |
6 | 0.067 | 175 | 62.44 | 14.24 | 202.883 |
7 | 0.058 | 55 | 54.06 | 0.13 | 0.016 |
8 | 0.051 | 19 | 47.53 | -4.14 | 17.127 |
9 | 0.046 | 17 | 42.87 | -3.95 | 15.613 |
total | 1.000 | 932 | 932 | 2886.876 |
test statistic,chi squaredχ2 =2886.876
( please revert if there are other parts of this)
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