A genetic experiment with peas resulted in one sample of offspring that consisted of
443443
green peas and
153153
yellow peas.
a. Construct a
9090%
confidence interval to estimate of the percentage of yellow peas.
b. It was expected that 25% of the offspring peas would be yellow. Given that the percentage of offspring yellow peas is not 25%, do the results contradict expectations?
Solution :
Given that,
n = 443 + 153 = 596
x = 153
a) Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 153 / 596 = 0.257
1 - = 1 - 0.257 = 0.743
At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
=1 - 0.90 =0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 (((0.257 * 0.743) / 596 )
= 0.029
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.257 - 0.029 < p < 0.257 + 0.029
( 0.228 < p < 0.286 )
b) No, the confidence interval include 0.25, so the true percentage could easily equal 25%
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