Mendelian genetics predict that in Labrador retrievers (a type of dog), 25% should have brown coat color if both parents are heterozygous (the rest are black). You mate two parents and get a litter of 4 puppies. Calculate the following: a) The probability of 4 black puppies. b) The probability of 2 brown puppies. c) The probability that 50% of the puppies will be brown. 4) Refer to problem 3. Calculate the probability of every possible outcome (hint: you need to make five calculations).
Solution:
This will be a binomial distribution with parameters:
n = 4, p = 0.25
q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.25 = 0.75
a) The probability of 4 black puppies means brown puppy is zero .
P(X = 0) = 4C0 (0.25)0(0.75)4 = 0.3164
b) P(X = 2) = 4C2 (0.25)2(0.75)2 = 0.2109
c) P(50% puppies will be brown) = P(X = 4/2) = P(X = 2) = 0.2109
Now if we have two puppies then the number of brown puppies can either be 0, 1 or 2.
So,
Probability of every outcome will be:
x | 0 | 1 | 2 |
p(x) | (0.75)2 = 0.5625 | 2*(0.25)*(0.75) = 0.375 | (0.25)2 = 0.0625 |
Cheers!!
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