How's the economy? A pollster wants to construct a 99.5%
confidence interval for the proportion of
adults who believe that economic conditions are getting better.
Part: 0 / 20 of 2 Parts Complete
Part 1 of 2
(a) A poll taken in July 2010 estimates this proportion to be 0.37.
Using this estimate,
what sample size is needed so that the confidence interval will
have a margin of error of 0.03?
A sample of __ adults is needed to obtain a 99.5 confidence interval with a margin of error of 0.03.
Solution :-
Given that,
= 0.37
1 - = 1-0.37 = 0.63
margin of error = E = 0.03
At 99.5% confidence level
= 1-0.99.5% =1-0.995 =0.005
/2
=0.005/ 2= 0.0025
Z/2
= Z0.0025 = 2.807
Z/2 = 2.807
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (2.807/0.03)2 *0.37*0.63
= 2041
sample size = n = 2041
A sample of 2041 adults is needed to obtain a 99.5 confidence interval with a margin of error of 0.03.
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