Question

2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a...

2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk

Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence.

Consider the following case:

James owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Happy Dog Soap Company (HDS) and Black Sheep Broadcasting (BSB). Three-quarters of James’s portfolio value consists of HDS’s shares, and the balance consists of BSB’s shares.

Each stock’s expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table:

Market Condition

Probability of Occurrence

Happy Dog Soap

Black Sheep Broadcasting

Strong 0.25 50% 70%
Normal 0.45 30% 40%
Weak 0.30 -40% -50%

Calculate expected returns for the individual stocks in James’s portfolio as well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolio over the three possible market conditions next year.

The expected rate of return on Happy Dog Soap’s stock over the next year is ____________.
The expected rate of return on Black Sheep Broadcasting’s stock over the next year is _____.
The expected rate of return on James’s portfolio over the next year is __________________.

The expected returns for James’s portfolio were calculated based on three possible conditions in the market. Such conditions will vary from time to time, and for each condition there will be a specific outcome. These probabilities and outcomes can be represented in the form of a continuous probability distribution graph.

For example, the continuous probability distributions of rates of return on stocks for two different companies are shown on the following graph:

  

Based on the graph’s information, which statement is false?

Company H has lower risk.

Company G has lower risk.

Homework Answers

Answer #1

Expected Rate of return = w1 * r1 + w2 * r2 + w3 * r3

For Happy Dogs, Expected rate = 0.25 * 50% + 0.45 * 30% + 0.30 * -40% = 14.00%

For Black Sheep Broadcasting, Expected rate = 0.25 * 70% + 0.45 * 40% + 0.30 * -50% = 20.50%

For James portfolio = (3/4) * 14% + (1/4) * 20.5% = 15.6250%

Question 2:

This is incomplete and the graph is missing.

If this is how the graph looks like, in this graph, Company A has lower risk since it is spread in a lower area of X-axis, which indicates lower variability and hence lower standard deviation.

Know the answer?
Your Answer:

Post as a guest

Your Name:

What's your source?

Earn Coins

Coins can be redeemed for fabulous gifts.

Not the answer you're looking for?
Ask your own homework help question
Similar Questions
Back to Assignment Attempts:                Average:    / 2 2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the...
Back to Assignment Attempts:                Average:    / 2 2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Tyler owns a two-stock portfolio...
Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical...
Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: James owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Celestial Crane Cosmetics Company (CCC) and...
4. Statistical measures of standalone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a...
4. Statistical measures of standalone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: James owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining Company (BLM)...
Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean)...
Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Ethan owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining Company (BLM) and Hungry Whale Electronics (HWE). Three-quarters...
Ethan owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining Company (BLM) and Hungry Whale...
Ethan owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining Company (BLM) and Hungry Whale Electronics (HWE). Three-quarters of Ethan's portfolio value consists of BLM's shares, and the balance consists of HWE's shares. Each stock's expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. THe expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed: Market Condition Probability of Occurence Blue Llama Mining Hungry Whale Electro Strong 50% 10% 14% Normal 25% 6% 8% Weak...
Measuring stand-alone risk using realized (historical) data Returns earned over a given time period are called...
Measuring stand-alone risk using realized (historical) data Returns earned over a given time period are called realized returns. Historical data on realized returns is often used to estimate future results. Analysts across companies use realized stock returns to estimate the risk of a stock. Consider the case of Happy Dog Soap Inc. (HDS): Five years of realized returns for HDS are given in the following table. Remember: 1. While HDS was started 40 years ago, its common stock has been...
a) Michael has a portfolio comprising 2 assets: Stock X and Stock Y. Probability distribution of...
a) Michael has a portfolio comprising 2 assets: Stock X and Stock Y. Probability distribution of returns on Stock X and Stock Y are as follows Bear market Normal market Bull market Probability 0.2 0.5 0.3 Stock X -20% 18% 50% Stock Y -15% 20% 10% i)            What are the expected rates of return for Stocks X and Y? ii)           What are the standard deviations of returns on Stocks X and Y? ( b) You are a fund manager responsible for a...
Given the following probability distribution, what are the expected return and the standard deviation of returns...
Given the following probability distribution, what are the expected return and the standard deviation of returns for Security J? State                      Pi                              rj     1                          0.2                           12%     2                          0.3                           4%     3                          0.5                           17% Group of answer choices 12.10%; 5.93% 12.30%; 5.63% 12.40%; 5.63% 12.30%; 5.93% 12.10%; 5.63% Suppose you hold a diversified portfolio consisting of a $6,485 invested equally in each of 20 different common stocks.  The portfolio’s beta is 0.81.  Now suppose you decided to sell one of your stocks that has a beta of 1.4 and to use the proceeds...
Expected returns Stocks A and B have the following probability distributions of expected future returns: Probability...
Expected returns Stocks A and B have the following probability distributions of expected future returns: Probability A B 0.1 -12% -33% 0.3 6 0 0.3 16 20 0.2 23 26 0.1 36 40 A. Calculate the expected rate of return, rB, for Stock B (rA = 13.60%.) Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places. _______ % B. Calculate the standard deviation of expected returns, ?A, for Stock A (?B = 19.56%.) Do not round intermediate...
Question 11 pts Tommy wishes to determine the return on two stocks she owned in 2019....
Question 11 pts Tommy wishes to determine the return on two stocks she owned in 2019. At the beginning of the year, stock X traded for $51per share. During the year, X paid dividends of $9 At the end of the year, Xstock was worth $92 Calculate the annual rate of return, r, for X (Enter the answer in % format without % sign -> 20.51 and not 20.51% or 0.2051) Question 21 pts Suppose you have an investment in...
ADVERTISEMENT
Need Online Homework Help?

Get Answers For Free
Most questions answered within 1 hours.

Ask a Question
ADVERTISEMENT