Question

If increasing the number of independent variables increases R2, why isn't it advised to simply increase...

If increasing the number of independent variables increases R2, why isn't it advised to simply increase the number of independent variables in a model to explain the variability in the dependent variable?

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Answer #1

Ans:

All data contain a natural amount of variability that is un-explainable. Unfortunately, R-squared doesn’t respect this natural ceiling. Chasing a high R-squared value can push us to include too many predictors in an attempt to explain the unexplainable.

In these cases, you can achieve a higher R-squared value, but at the cost of misleading results, reduced precision, and a lessened ability to make predictions.

Both adjusted R-squared and predicted R-square provide information that helps you assess the number of predictors in your model:

  • Use the adjusted R-square to compare models with different numbers of predictors
  • Use the predicted R-square to determine how well the model predicts new observations and whether the model is too complicated
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