Recall "It's what you learn, not where" from The Economist in
Lecture 22. Consider a multiple regression to explain the
percentage returns to education (R) using the percentage of
applicants a university admits (U) and program of study. As seen in
the figure in lecture, a high value of R would be 15 (a great
return) but some programs and schools have an R close to zero. U
also varies across universities where a value of 20 is a selective
university (hard to get into) but some have a value of U near 100
(almost everyone gets in). Consider three programs of study: A, B,
and C, which are included via dummy variables.
The multiple regression also allows for interaction effects between
university admissions and programs. Consider this equation of
multiple regression results: R-hat = 7.5239 - 0.0594*U -
0.2581*Program_A + 0.5587*Program_C + 0.0141*Program_A*U +
0.0089*Program_C*U. For Program C at a university that admits 75
percent of applicants, what is the predicted value of R? (Record
your answer accurate to at least the nearest first decimal place
with standard rounding.)
The estimated regression model is
where
U=the percentage of applicants a university admits
There are three programs of study: A, B, and C, and hence we need 3-1=2 dummy variables to represent these 3
he predicted value of R, given U=75 and for Program C (that is Program_A=0, Program_C=1) is
ans: the predicted value of R is 4.3
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