A recent poll of 450 college-age students found that 270 agreed with U.S. foreign policy toward Israel. What is the corresponding 80% confidence interval?
Solution:
Confidence interval for Population Proportion is given as below:
Confidence Interval = P ± Z* sqrt(P*(1 – P)/n)
Where, P is the sample proportion, Z is critical value, and n is sample size.
We are given
x = 270
n = 450
P = x/n = 270/450 = 0.6
Confidence level = 80%
Critical Z value = 1.2816
(by using z-table)
Confidence Interval = P ± Z* sqrt(P*(1 – P)/n)
Confidence Interval = 0.6 ± 1.2816* sqrt(0.6*(1 – 0.6)/450)
Confidence Interval = 0.6 ± 1.2816*0.0231
Confidence Interval = 0.6 ± 0.0296
Lower limit = 0.6 - 0.0296 = 0.5704
Upper limit = 0.6 + 0.0296 = 0.6296
Confidence interval = (0.5704, 0.6296)
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