The J.O. Supplies Company buys calculators from a Korean supplier. The probability of a defective calculator is 10%. If 14 calculators are selected at random, what is the probability that less than 5 of the calculators will be defective?
Solution
Given that ,
p = 0.10
1 - p = 0.90
n = 14
x < 5
Using binomial probability formula ,
P(X = x) = ((n! / x! (n - x)!) * px * (1 - p)n - x
P(X < 5) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4)
= ((14! / 0! (14-0)!) * 0.100 * (0.90)14-0 + ((14! / 1! (14-1)!) * 0.101 * (0.90)14-1+ ((14! / 2! (14-2)!) * 0.102 * (0.90)14-2 + ((14! / 3! (14-3)!) * 0.103 * (0.90)14-3+ ((14! / 4! (14-4)!) * 0.104 * (0.90)14-4
= 0.2288 + 0.3559 + 0.257 + 0.1142 + 0.0349
= 0.9908
Probability = 0.9908
The probability that less than 5 of the calculators will be defective is 0.9908
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