You work for a marketing firm that has a large client in the automobile industry. You have been asked to estimate the proportion of households in Chicago that have two or more vehicles. You have been assigned to gather a random sample that could be used to estimate this proportion to within a 0.035 margin of error at a 98% level of confidence.
a) With no prior research, what sample size should you gather in order to obtain a 0.035 margin of error? Round your answer up to the nearest whole number.
n = households
b) Your firm has decided that your plan is too expensive, and they wish to reduce the sample size required. You conduct a small preliminary sample, and you obtain a sample proportion of ˆ p = 0.2 . Using this new information. what sample size should you gather in order to obtain a 0.035 margin of error?Round your answer up to the nearest whole number.
n = households
Solution :
Given that,
a)
= 0.5
1 - = 0.5
margin of error = E = 0.035
At 98% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 98% = 1 - 0.98 = 0.02
/ 2 = 0.02 / 2 = 0.01
Z/2 = Z0.01 = 2.326
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (2.326 / 0.035)2 * 0.5 * 0.5
= 1104.14
sample size = 1105
n = 1105 households
b)
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (2.326 / 0.035)2 * 0.2 * 0.8
= 706.65
sample size = 707
n =707 households
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