Question

Compute the inductive probability of the following argument assuming thatepistemic probabilities defer to base rates and...

Compute the inductive probability of the following argument assuming thatepistemic probabilities defer to base rates and chances. (Hint: this is really justa Bayes’ theorem question.)

1). One in a thousand people have disease X.

2). The chance of a positive test result is 99% for those that have disease X.

3). The chance of a positive test result is 5% for those that don’t have diseaseX.

4). Alice just tested positive.

5). Thus, Alice has disease X.

Math   Statistics-And-Probability   
0 0
Add a commentTranscribed image text
Next >

Homework Answers

Answer #1

Let E1 and E2 denote the event that a person has disease X and a person doesn't disease Y respectively

0 0
Know the answer?
Your Answer:

Post as a guest

Your Name:

What's your source?

Earn Coins

Coins can be redeemed for fabulous gifts.

Log In

Sign Up

Not the answer you're looking for?
Ask your own homework help question
Similar Questions
A new, non-invasive colon cancer screening method boasts a sensitivity of 99%. That is, given that...
A new, non-invasive colon cancer screening method boasts a sensitivity of 99%. That is, given that a patient has colon cancer, the screening method has a 0.99 probability of yielding a positive test. The test is also 90% specific, meaning that if a person without colon cancer is screened, there is a 0.9 probability of a negative test result. Among the population of adults over 45 years of age, the proportion who have colon cancer is 0.0013 (thirteen out of...
The Food and Drug Administration does not regulate these tests, but White House coronavirus task force...
The Food and Drug Administration does not regulate these tests, but White House coronavirus task force coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx has said that she expects manufacturers to achieve a standard of 90% specificity (and 90% sensitivity, another measure of test performance that's less important in this context). Here's what would happen if you used a test with 90% specificity in a population in which only 1% of the people have coronavirus. Nobody knows for sure, but that could be the...
Let’s say that we work for the International Olympic Committee (IOC) as part of their Fight...
Let’s say that we work for the International Olympic Committee (IOC) as part of their Fight Against Doping. We have a drug test for a banned performance-enhancing drug (PED) that is 99.3% accurate at identifying the presence of the PED in an athlete’s system. However, it is only 73% accurate at identifying the absence of PED in the athlete’s system. From a scientific study we also have a strong a priori reason to believe that only 3% of Olympic athletes...
QUESTION 5 Imagine a test that's 100% sensitive and 80% specific and it's testing for something...
QUESTION 5 Imagine a test that's 100% sensitive and 80% specific and it's testing for something that has a 5% chance of occurring. What's the chance that a test result will come back positive (remember, there are two ways to get a positive result: a true positive and a false positive). Express your answer as a value between 0 and 1 to two decimal places. QUESTION 6 Suppose you're hiring a new worker for your business. You'd like someone reliable....
Please answer the following Case analysis questions 1-How is New Balance performing compared to its primary...
Please answer the following Case analysis questions 1-How is New Balance performing compared to its primary rivals? How will the acquisition of Reebok by Adidas impact the structure of the athletic shoe industry? Is this likely to be favorable or unfavorable for New Balance? 2- What issues does New Balance management need to address? 3-What recommendations would you make to New Balance Management? What does New Balance need to do to continue to be successful? Should management continue to invest...
ADVERTISEMENT
Need Online Homework Help?

Get Answers For Free
Most questions answered within 1 hours.

Ask a Question
ADVERTISEMENT