Suppose you are sampling the returns of exchange traded funds (ETF) which you assume to be normally distributed with unknown mean and known variance σ2 = 0.1 You want to find an interval of width 0.02 such that you are 95% confident the true mean lies within it. How many ETFs do you have to sample?
You may use −z0.975 = z0.025 = 1.96, where for Z ∼ N(0,1), Pr(Z ≥ zα) = α.
Solution :
Given that,
2 = 0.1
standard deviation = = 0.3162
width = 0.02
margin of error = E = width / 2 = 0.02 / 2 = 0.01
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96
Sample size = n = ((Z/2 * ) / E)2
= ((1.96 * 0.3162) / 0.01)2
= 3841.6 = 3842
3842 ETFs you have to sample .
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