The Denver Post reported that a recent Audit of Los Angeles 911 calls showed that 85% were not emergencies. Suppose the 911 operators in Los Angeles have just received three calls.
(a) What is the probability that all three calls are, in fact,
emergencies? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
(b) What is the probability that two or more calls are not
emergencies? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
(c) How many calls n would the 911 operators need to
answer to be 96% (or more) sure that at least one call is, in fact,
an emergency? (Enter your answer as a whole number.)
calls
Answer:
a)
Given
sample n = 3
x = 3
p = 85% = 0.85
q = 1 - 0.85
= 0.15
P(X = 3) = 3C3*0.15^3*0.85^0
= 0.15^3
= 0.0034
b)
To give the probability that two or more calls are not emergencies
n = 3
x = 2
P(x >= 2) = 1 - P(x < 2)
= 1 - P(x <= 1)
= 1 - [P(0) + P(1)]
= 1 - [3C0*0.85^0*0.15^3 + 3C1*0.85^1*0.15^2]
= 1 - [0.0034 + 0.0574]
= 1 - 0.0608
= 0.9392
c)
Here x = 1
p = 1 - 0.85
= 0.15
P(X >= 1) = 96% = 0.96
So here we can say that, by the trail & error method / binomial
n = 20
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