You are working at a movie theatre selling popcorn and notice that 70% of the moviegoers prefer buttered popcorn. You decide to conduct an experiment on the next 10 moviegoers. (Hint…this is a binomial problem) A) what is the probability that only 2 of the next 10 moviegoers will order buttered popcorn? B) What is the probability that 5 of the next 10 moviegoers will order buttered popcorn? C) What is the expected value, variance and standard deviation of your experiment?
Answer)
As there are fixed number of trials and probability of each and every trial is same and independent of each other
Here we need to use the binomial formula
P(r) = ncr*(p^r)*(1-p)^n-r
Ncr = n!/(r!*(n-r)!)
N! = N*n-1*n-2*n-3*n-4*n-5........till 1
For example 5! = 5*4*3*2*1
Special case is 0! = 1
P = probability of single trial = 70%
N = number of trials = 10
R = desired success
A)
P(2) = 10c2*(0.7^2)*(1-0.7)^10-2 = 0.0014467005
B)
P(5) = 0.1029193452
C)
Expected value = n*p = 10*0.7 = 7
Variance = n*p*(1-p) = 2.1
S.d = √variance = √2.1 = 1.44913767461
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