Question

A consumer electronics company is planning to introduce a new device. After careful consideration of costs,...

A consumer electronics company is planning to introduce a new device. After careful consideration of costs, (e.g., there is a fixed cost of $5 million for developing the item), the projected state of the economy, etc., the marketing manager came up with the following payoff table (in $millions)

Courses of action

Event

Market item

Do not market item

Introduction successful

$50

                -$5

Introduction not successful

-$40

-$5

  1. What are the decisions?
  2. What are the states of nature?
  3. What decision criterion would a conservative decision-maker make?
  4. Use your answer in c. to determine what decision should be made in this case. Show all work to justify your answer.

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