Each year, ratings are compiled concerning the performance of new cars during the first 100 days of use. Suppose that the cars have been categorized according to whether a car needs warranty-related repair (yes or no) and the country in which the company manufacturing a car is based (in some country X or not in country X). Based on the data collected, the probability that the new car needs a warranty repair is 0.05, the probability that the car is manufactured by a company based in country X is 0.90, and the probability that the new car needs a warranty repair and was manufactured by a company based in country X is 0.025. Use this information to answer (a) through (d) below.
a. Suppose you know that a company based in country X manufactured a particular car. What is the probability that the car needs warranty repair?
Answer :
given data :-
the probability that the new car needs a warranty repair = 0.05
p(A) = 0.05
the car is manufactured by a company based in country X = 0.90
p(B) = 0.90
the probability that the new car needs a warranty repair and was manufactured by a company based in country X = 0.025
p(A and B) = 0.025
=> now we need to find out the probability that the car needs warranty repair...?
we know that
p(A|B) = p(A and B)/p(B)
p(A|B) = 0.025/0.90
p(A|B) = 0.0277
the probability that the car needs warranty repair is : 0.0277
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