Use a normal approximation to find the probability of the indicated number of voters. In this case, assume that 120 eligible voters aged 18-24 are randomly selected. Suppose a previous study showed that among eligible voters aged 18-24, 22% of them voted. Probability that exactly 32 voted
Answer: The probability that exactly 32 of 120 eligible voters voted is
Solution :
Given that,
p = 22% = 0.22
q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.22 = 0.78
n = 120
Using binomial distribution,
= n * p = 120 * 0.22 = 26.4
= n * p * q = 120 * 0.22 * 0.78 = 4.53784
Using continuity correction ,
P(31.5 < x < 32.5) = P((31.5 - 26.4)/ 4.53784) < (x - ) / < (32.5 - 26.4) / 4.53784) )
= P(1.1239 < z < 1.3443)
= P(z < 1.3443) - P(z < 1.1239)
= 0.9106 - 0.8695
= 0.0411
Probability = 0.0411.
The probability that exactly 32 of 120 eligible voters voted is 0.0411
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