The following data contains monthly U.S. domestic air miles traveled during the years 1970-2004 , determine the trend and seasonality for the years 1995-2004 and Try both additive and multiplicative models and for the multiplicative model, use only one constraint: the average of seasonal indices set to 1
Year | Month | DATA |
1970 | 1 | 9764490 |
1970 | 2 | 8163943 |
1970 | 3 | 9875362 |
1970 | 4 | 9289053 |
1970 | 5 | 10029494 |
1970 | 6 | 11821707 |
1970 | 7 | 12630952 |
1970 | 8 | 13495546 |
1970 | 9 | 10283314 |
1970 | 10 | 9382270 |
1970 | 11 | 8620519 |
1970 | 12 | 10294014 |
1971 | 1 | 9891862 |
1971 | 2 | 8442652 |
1971 | 3 | 9606332 |
1971 | 4 | 10549641 |
1971 | 5 | 10254733 |
1971 | 6 | 11466804 |
1971 | 7 | 12958264 |
1971 | 8 | 13336251 |
1971 | 9 | 10583464 |
1971 | 10 | 10517398 |
1971 | 11 | 9411420 |
1971 | 12 | 11293565 |
1972 | 1 | 11058573 |
1972 | 2 | 9652325 |
1972 | 3 | 11346626 |
1972 | 4 | 11599434 |
1972 | 5 | 11431268 |
1972 | 6 | 13285600 |
1972 | 7 | 14382050 |
1972 | 8 | 15093087 |
1972 | 9 | 12033832 |
1972 | 10 | 11834084 |
1972 | 11 | 11088399 |
1972 | 12 | 12577357 |
1973 | 1 | 12006797 |
1973 | 2 | 10616113 |
1973 | 3 | 12440709 |
1973 | 4 | 12742187 |
1973 | 5 | 12650366 |
1973 | 6 | 14383418 |
1973 | 7 | 15409859 |
1973 | 8 | 16368557 |
1973 | 9 | 12674412 |
1973 | 10 | 12374474 |
1973 | 11 | 11464940 |
1973 | 12 | 12552210 |
1974 | 1 | 12407283 |
1974 | 2 | 11187567 |
1974 | 3 | 13176393 |
1974 | 4 | 13124302 |
1974 | 5 | 12990959 |
1974 | 6 | 14493146 |
1974 | 7 | 14902380 |
1974 | 8 | 16052990 |
1974 | 9 | 12202773 |
1974 | 10 | 12100460 |
1974 | 11 | 10686266 |
1974 | 12 | 12662233 |
1975 | 1 | 12019893 |
1975 | 2 | 10500716 |
1975 | 3 | 12713806 |
1975 | 4 | 11673749 |
1975 | 5 | 12357257 |
1975 | 6 | 14276341 |
1975 | 7 | 15435158 |
1975 | 8 | 16624947 |
1975 | 9 | 12361436 |
1975 | 10 | 12766014 |
1975 | 11 | 11691921 |
1975 | 12 | 13218384 |
1976 | 1 | 13254630 |
1976 | 2 | 12175484 |
1976 | 3 | 13543634 |
1976 | 4 | 14036530 |
1976 | 5 | 14010283 |
1976 | 6 | 15535527 |
1976 | 7 | 16978531 |
1976 | 8 | 17420060 |
1976 | 9 | 13602124 |
1976 | 10 | 13689445 |
1976 | 11 | 12364527 |
1976 | 12 | 14455513 |
1977 | 1 | 14373196 |
1977 | 2 | 12329470 |
1977 | 3 | 14738239 |
1977 | 4 | 14710867 |
1977 | 5 | 14659223 |
1977 | 6 | 16277665 |
1977 | 7 | 18047300 |
1977 | 8 | 18707711 |
1977 | 9 | 14972330 |
1977 | 10 | 15439386 |
1977 | 11 | 14132105 |
1977 | 12 | 16227881 |
1978 | 1 | 15806970 |
1978 | 2 | 13824317 |
1978 | 3 | 17588821 |
1978 | 4 | 16757513 |
1978 | 5 | 17084245 |
1978 | 6 | 19524683 |
1978 | 7 | 21443791 |
1978 | 8 | 22619647 |
1978 | 9 | 18107814 |
1978 | 10 | 17871189 |
1978 | 11 | 16794325 |
1978 | 12 | 18348797 |
1979 | 1 | 18294077 |
1979 | 2 | 16903248 |
1979 | 3 | 21218361 |
1979 | 4 | 19350616 |
1979 | 5 | 19115750 |
1979 | 6 | 22326132 |
1979 | 7 | 24419704 |
1979 | 8 | 26390500 |
1979 | 9 | 20062084 |
1979 | 10 | 20007513 |
1979 | 11 | 18820830 |
1979 | 12 | 19434733 |
1980 | 1 | 18888523 |
1980 | 2 | 17566896 |
1980 | 3 | 20906087 |
1980 | 4 | 19478493 |
1980 | 5 | 19480615 |
1980 | 6 | 22093339 |
1980 | 7 | 23299604 |
1980 | 8 | 24738852 |
1980 | 9 | 18463981 |
1980 | 10 | 18951070 |
1980 | 11 | 16899075 |
1980 | 12 | 19148505 |
1981 | 1 | 18224444 |
1981 | 2 | 16045824 |
1981 | 3 | 18765833 |
1981 | 4 | 19241203 |
1981 | 5 | 20744610 |
1981 | 6 | 21463561 |
1981 | 7 | 23183844 |
1981 | 8 | 23293501 |
1981 | 9 | 18717668 |
1981 | 10 | 19170466 |
1981 | 11 | 17292854 |
1981 | 12 | 19158670 |
1982 | 1 | 18602035 |
1982 | 2 | 16981003 |
1982 | 3 | 20677117 |
1982 | 4 | 20450117 |
1982 | 5 | 20831958 |
1982 | 6 | 23081980 |
1982 | 7 | 24489917 |
1982 | 8 | 25101870 |
1982 | 9 | 19661081 |
1982 | 10 | 20521372 |
1982 | 11 | 18812692 |
1982 | 12 | 20768163 |
1983 | 1 | 20571953 |
1983 | 2 | 19182406 |
1983 | 3 | 24452800 |
1983 | 4 | 21638830 |
1983 | 5 | 22272054 |
1983 | 6 | 25136628 |
1983 | 7 | 25861690 |
1983 | 8 | 26304210 |
1983 | 9 | 21349163 |
1983 | 10 | 22348192 |
1983 | 11 | 20111543 |
1983 | 12 | 21695077 |
1984 | 1 | 20763689 |
1984 | 2 | 19506315 |
1984 | 3 | 23912658 |
1984 | 4 | 23340775 |
1984 | 5 | 24342854 |
1984 | 6 | 26685554 |
1984 | 7 | 27075058 |
1984 | 8 | 28875238 |
1984 | 9 | 23662639 |
1984 | 10 | 24060953 |
1984 | 11 | 22196264 |
1984 | 12 | 23471451 |
1985 | 1 | 22920951 |
1985 | 2 | 20930439 |
1985 | 3 | 27074946 |
1985 | 4 | 26041326 |
1985 | 5 | 27412406 |
1985 | 6 | 28964979 |
1985 | 7 | 30951538 |
1985 | 8 | 31868347 |
1985 | 9 | 24540425 |
1985 | 10 | 25406701 |
1985 | 11 | 22976538 |
1985 | 12 | 26566014 |
1986 | 1 | 25121787 |
1986 | 2 | 23402061 |
1986 | 3 | 29522388 |
1986 | 4 | 27319572 |
1986 | 5 | 28741781 |
1986 | 6 | 30923349 |
1986 | 7 | 33583578 |
1986 | 8 | 36174025 |
1986 | 9 | 27748521 |
1986 | 10 | 28443765 |
1986 | 11 | 26730665 |
1986 | 12 | 29559329 |
1987 | 1 | 28229052 |
1987 | 2 | 27555828 |
1987 | 3 | 34500059 |
1987 | 4 | 33654013 |
1987 | 5 | 34314680 |
1987 | 6 | 35714792 |
1987 | 7 | 39289976 |
1987 | 8 | 41038152 |
1987 | 9 | 31330255 |
1987 | 10 | 32392072 |
1987 | 11 | 29626430 |
1987 | 12 | 31408465 |
1988 | 1 | 30155865 |
1988 | 2 | 29415931 |
1988 | 3 | 35885639 |
1988 | 4 | 33781984 |
1988 | 5 | 35021883 |
1988 | 6 | 37829675 |
1988 | 7 | 40421181 |
1988 | 8 | 42520021 |
1988 | 9 | 33446941 |
1988 | 10 | 35066349 |
1988 | 11 | 32142316 |
1988 | 12 | 33075791 |
1989 | 1 | 31847259 |
1989 | 2 | 29059006 |
1989 | 3 | 35684128 |
1989 | 4 | 33223675 |
1989 | 5 | 35058897 |
1989 | 6 | 39724389 |
1989 | 7 | 41496902 |
1989 | 8 | 43976160 |
1989 | 9 | 34386570 |
1989 | 10 | 35824241 |
1989 | 11 | 33488285 |
1989 | 12 | 34758162 |
1990 | 1 | 33784252 |
1990 | 2 | 31595968 |
1990 | 3 | 38283268 |
1990 | 4 | 36578004 |
1990 | 5 | 37270770 |
1990 | 6 | 41433961 |
1990 | 7 | 43994930 |
1990 | 8 | 46704131 |
1990 | 9 | 36571824 |
1990 | 10 | 37557015 |
1990 | 11 | 34506061 |
1990 | 12 | 35865930 |
1991 | 1 | 33205218 |
1991 | 2 | 28324500 |
1991 | 3 | 33999736 |
1991 | 4 | 34971280 |
1991 | 5 | 37158876 |
1991 | 6 | 40515803 |
1991 | 7 | 43531978 |
1991 | 8 | 46172216 |
1991 | 9 | 36566697 |
1991 | 10 | 37688862 |
1991 | 11 | 33434415 |
1991 | 12 | 37053977 |
1992 | 1 | 33587330 |
1992 | 2 | 32055101 |
1992 | 3 | 37676259 |
1992 | 4 | 35447356 |
1992 | 5 | 37950665 |
1992 | 6 | 43948846 |
1992 | 7 | 48387284 |
1992 | 8 | 50622572 |
1992 | 9 | 39799559 |
1992 | 10 | 38763675 |
1992 | 11 | 35363847 |
1992 | 12 | 37339787 |
1993 | 1 | 35722829 |
1993 | 2 | 32822005 |
1993 | 3 | 39487287 |
1993 | 4 | 38649904 |
1993 | 5 | 40266226 |
1993 | 6 | 42695464 |
1993 | 7 | 45769648 |
1993 | 8 | 47536328 |
1993 | 9 | 39706294 |
1993 | 10 | 41150285 |
1993 | 11 | 36804344 |
1993 | 12 | 38301074 |
1994 | 1 | 36147521 |
1994 | 2 | 33507570 |
1994 | 3 | 42250601 |
1994 | 4 | 39696851 |
1994 | 5 | 41595696 |
1994 | 6 | 44922125 |
1994 | 7 | 48467134 |
1994 | 8 | 49459244 |
1994 | 9 | 42016203 |
1994 | 10 | 43319244 |
1994 | 11 | 40004315 |
1994 | 12 | 41327699 |
1995 | 1 | 39205009 |
1995 | 2 | 35739554 |
1995 | 3 | 43937773 |
1995 | 4 | 42352538 |
1995 | 5 | 43324514 |
1995 | 6 | 46889629 |
1995 | 7 | 48997717 |
1995 | 8 | 50526787 |
1995 | 9 | 42582573 |
1995 | 10 | 44009178 |
1995 | 11 | 40736831 |
1995 | 12 | 41836154 |
1996 | 1 | 39543018 |
1996 | 2 | 39506864 |
1996 | 3 | 47423431 |
1996 | 4 | 44526750 |
1996 | 5 | 46788716 |
1996 | 6 | 50214714 |
1996 | 7 | 52236468 |
1996 | 8 | 54134690 |
1996 | 9 | 44864961 |
1996 | 10 | 47172091 |
1996 | 11 | 42087969 |
1996 | 12 | 46229951 |
1997 | 1 | 43511658 |
1997 | 2 | 40551896 |
1997 | 3 | 50706540 |
1997 | 4 | 46818886 |
1997 | 5 | 48752398 |
1997 | 6 | 51820936 |
1997 | 7 | 54308154 |
1997 | 8 | 55919283 |
1997 | 9 | 46896533 |
1997 | 10 | 48665485 |
1997 | 11 | 44915457 |
1997 | 12 | 47339463 |
1998 | 1 | 44182984 |
1998 | 2 | 42086273 |
1998 | 3 | 50732233 |
1998 | 4 | 49550579 |
1998 | 5 | 51118479 |
1998 | 6 | 53794004 |
1998 | 7 | 56586490 |
1998 | 8 | 56513991 |
1998 | 9 | 46326013 |
1998 | 10 | 50224401 |
1998 | 11 | 46502635 |
1998 | 12 | 48281368 |
1999 | 1 | 45487238 |
1999 | 2 | 42720310 |
1999 | 3 | 53311859 |
1999 | 4 | 51007230 |
1999 | 5 | 51944258 |
1999 | 6 | 55987230 |
1999 | 7 | 59692609 |
1999 | 8 | 59221314 |
1999 | 9 | 50347207 |
1999 | 10 | 53615572 |
1999 | 11 | 50315566 |
1999 | 12 | 48641246 |
2000 | 1 | 46015874 |
2000 | 2 | 46373713 |
2000 | 3 | 56736209 |
2000 | 4 | 54942720 |
2000 | 5 | 56804185 |
2000 | 6 | 60876153 |
2000 | 7 | 63062000 |
2000 | 8 | 61889686 |
2000 | 9 | 52606002 |
2000 | 10 | 54791011 |
2000 | 11 | 52179189 |
2000 | 12 | 51409251 |
2001 | 1 | 49326551 |
2001 | 2 | 46104811 |
2001 | 3 | 57390184 |
2001 | 4 | 55357669 |
2001 | 5 | 56165228 |
2001 | 6 | 60509825 |
2001 | 7 | 63548437 |
2001 | 8 | 63985244 |
2001 | 9 | 36204817 |
2001 | 10 | 41107872 |
2001 | 11 | 41999542 |
2001 | 12 | 44860314 |
2002 | 1 | 43248403 |
2002 | 2 | 41473991 |
2002 | 3 | 52694682 |
2002 | 4 | 48883539 |
2002 | 5 | 51347720 |
2002 | 6 | 55473097 |
2002 | 7 | 58229403 |
2002 | 8 | 58702568 |
2002 | 9 | 45871019 |
2002 | 10 | 49188255 |
2002 | 11 | 45025064 |
2002 | 12 | 50819815 |
2003 | 1 | 45839364 |
2003 | 2 | 41516227 |
2003 | 3 | 50046567 |
2003 | 4 | 45499366 |
2003 | 5 | 48061447 |
2003 | 6 | 53442227 |
2003 | 7 | 58516552 |
2003 | 8 | 57608972 |
2003 | 9 | 46019936 |
2003 | 10 | 49856880 |
2003 | 11 | 47246317 |
2003 | 12 | 51303892 |
2004 | 1 | 47048446 |
2004 | 2 | 45910086 |
2004 | 3 | 55345202 |
2004 | 4 | 54328181 |
Excel models were made and solved. Snapshots are attached below:
Data -
Additive Model with Trend and Seasonality indeces:
Multiplicative model with trend and seasonality indeces (sum of which is set to 1 as required in the question):
Due to paucity of space and snapshotting limitations, I am not able to show the rest of months. Attached is a snapshot of the models with data:
Additive model output:
BaseAdd | 45.853 | Base+Trend*Month#+Lookupseasonality | stddeverrors | 1.905 | ||||||||||
TrendAdd | 0.067 | Seasonalities average to 0 | RSQ | 0.858 | ||||||||||
SSE | 1164 | |||||||||||||
1 | -5.174 | MonthNumber | Month | Month | Airline Miles (billions) | Forecast | Error | Sq Error | Forecast Formula | |||||
2 | -7.383 | 1 | 01-01-1995 | 1 | 39.21 | 40.75 | -1.54 | 2.37 | =baseadd+trend*D5+VLOOKUP(F5,$A$4:$B$15,2) | |||||
3 | 2.185 | 2 | 01-02-1995 | 2 | 35.74 | 38.60 | -2.86 | 8.20 | ||||||
4 | -0.388 | 3 | 01-03-1995 | 3 | 43.94 | 48.24 | -4.30 | 18.49 | ||||||
5 | 1.097 | 4 | 01-04-1995 | 4 | 42.35 | 45.73 | -3.38 | 11.42 | ||||||
6 | 4.886 | 5 | 01-05-1995 | 5 | 43.32 | 47.28 | -3.96 | 15.67 | ||||||
7 | 7.727 | 6 | 01-06-1995 | 6 | 46.89 | 51.14 | -4.25 | 18.05 | ||||||
8 | 8.030 | 7 | 01-07-1995 | 7 | 49.00 | 54.05 | -5.05 | 25.49 | ||||||
9 | -3.901 | 8 | 01-08-1995 | 8 | 50.53 | 54.42 | -3.89 | 15.12 | ||||||
10 | -0.978 | 9 | 01-09-1995 | 9 | 42.58 | 42.55 | 0.03 | 0.00 | ||||||
11 | -4.113 | 10 | 01-10-1995 | 10 | 44.01 | 45.54 | -1.53 | 2.35 | ||||||
12 | -1.990 | 11 | 01-11-1995 | 11 | 40.74 | 42.47 | -1.73 | 3.01 | ||||||
mean | 0.000 | 12 | 01-12-1995 | 12 | 41.84 | 44.66 | -2.83 | 7.99 | ||||||
13 | 01-01-1996 | 1 | 39.54 | 41.54 | -2.00 | 4.01 | ||||||||
14 | 01-02-1996 | 2 | 39.51 | 39.40 | 0.10 | 0.01 | ||||||||
15 | 01-03-1996 | 3 | 47.42 | 49.04 | -1.61 | 2.60 | ||||||||
16 | 01-04-1996 | 4 | 44.53 | 46.53 | -2.00 | 4.01 | ||||||||
17 | 01-05-1996 | 5 | 46.79 | 48.08 | -1.29 | 1.67 | ||||||||
18 | 01-06-1996 | 6 | 50.21 | 51.94 | -1.72 | 2.97 | ||||||||
19 | 01-07-1996 | 7 | 52.24 | 54.85 | -2.61 | 6.81 | ||||||||
20 | 01-08-1996 | 8 | 54.13 | 55.21 | -1.08 | 1.17 | ||||||||
21 | 01-09-1996 | 9 | 44.86 | 43.35 | 1.52 | 2.30 | ||||||||
22 | 01-10-1996 | 10 | 47.17 | 46.34 | 0.83 | 0.69 | ||||||||
23 | 01-11-1996 | 11 | 42.09 | 43.27 | -1.18 | 1.40 | ||||||||
24 | 01-12-1996 | 12 | 46.23 | 45.46 | 0.77 | 0.59 | ||||||||
25 | 01-01-1997 | 1 | 43.51 | 42.34 | 1.17 | 1.36 | ||||||||
26 | 01-02-1997 | 2 | 40.55 | 40.20 | 0.35 | 0.12 | ||||||||
27 | 01-03-1997 | 3 | 50.71 | 49.84 | 0.87 | 0.76 | ||||||||
28 | 01-04-1997 | 4 | 46.82 | 47.33 | -0.51 | 0.26 | ||||||||
29 | 01-05-1997 | 5 | 48.75 | 48.88 | -0.13 | 0.02 | ||||||||
30 | 01-06-1997 | 6 | 51.82 | 52.74 | -0.92 | 0.84 | ||||||||
31 | 01-07-1997 | 7 | 54.31 | 55.64 | -1.34 | 1.78 | ||||||||
32 | 01-08-1997 | 8 | 55.92 | 56.01 | -0.09 | 0.01 | ||||||||
33 | 01-09-1997 | 9 | 46.90 | 44.15 | 2.75 | 7.55 | ||||||||
34 | 01-10-1997 | 10 | 48.67 | 47.14 | 1.53 | 2.33 | ||||||||
35 | 01-11-1997 | 11 | 44.92 | 44.07 | 0.85 | 0.72 | ||||||||
36 | 01-12-1997 | 12 | 47.34 | 46.26 | 1.08 | 1.17 | ||||||||
37 | 01-01-1998 | 1 | 44.18 | 43.14 | 1.04 | 1.08 | ||||||||
38 | 01-02-1998 | 2 | 42.09 | 41.00 | 1.09 | 1.18 | ||||||||
39 | 01-03-1998 | 3 | 50.73 | 50.63 | 0.10 | 0.01 | ||||||||
40 | 01-04-1998 | 4 | 49.55 | 48.13 | 1.42 | 2.02 | ||||||||
41 | 01-05-1998 | 5 | 51.12 | 49.68 | 1.44 | 2.07 | ||||||||
42 | 01-06-1998 | 6 | 53.79 | 53.54 | 0.26 | 0.07 | ||||||||
43 | 01-07-1998 | 7 | 56.59 | 56.44 | 0.14 | 0.02 | ||||||||
44 | 01-08-1998 | 8 | 56.51 | 56.81 | -0.30 | 0.09 | ||||||||
45 | 01-09-1998 | 9 | 46.33 | 44.95 | 1.38 | 1.90 | ||||||||
46 | 01-10-1998 | 10 | 50.22 | 47.94 | 2.29 | 5.23 | ||||||||
47 | 01-11-1998 | 11 | 46.50 | 44.87 | 1.63 | 2.67 | ||||||||
48 | 01-12-1998 | 12 | 48.28 | 47.06 | 1.22 | 1.49 | ||||||||
49 | 01-01-1999 | 1 | 45.49 | 43.94 | 1.55 | 2.39 | ||||||||
50 | 01-02-1999 | 2 | 42.72 | 41.80 | 0.92 | 0.85 | ||||||||
51 | 01-03-1999 | 3 | 53.31 | 51.43 | 1.88 | 3.53 | ||||||||
52 | 01-04-1999 | 4 | 51.01 | 48.93 | 2.08 | 4.33 | ||||||||
53 | 01-05-1999 | 5 | 51.94 | 50.48 | 1.47 | 2.15 | ||||||||
54 | 01-06-1999 | 6 | 55.99 | 54.33 | 1.65 | 2.73 | ||||||||
55 | 01-07-1999 | 7 | 59.69 | 57.24 | 2.45 | 6.01 | ||||||||
56 | 01-08-1999 | 8 | 59.22 | 57.61 | 1.61 | 2.59 | ||||||||
57 | 01-09-1999 | 9 | 50.35 | 45.75 | 4.60 | 21.17 | ||||||||
58 | 01-10-1999 | 10 | 53.62 | 48.74 | 4.88 | 23.80 | ||||||||
59 | 01-11-1999 | 11 | 50.32 | 45.67 | 4.65 | 21.60 | ||||||||
60 | 01-12-1999 | 12 | 48.64 | 47.86 | 0.78 | 0.61 | ||||||||
61 | 01-01-2000 | 1 | 46.02 | 44.74 | 1.28 | 1.63 | ||||||||
62 | 01-02-2000 | 2 | 46.37 | 42.60 | 3.78 | 14.26 | ||||||||
63 | 01-03-2000 | 3 | 56.74 | 52.23 | 4.50 | 20.29 | ||||||||
64 | 01-04-2000 | 4 | 54.94 | 49.73 | 5.22 | 27.21 | ||||||||
65 | 01-05-2000 | 5 | 56.80 | 51.28 | 5.53 | 30.54 | ||||||||
66 | 01-06-2000 | 6 | 60.88 | 55.13 | 5.74 | 32.98 | ||||||||
67 | 01-07-2000 | 7 | 63.06 | 58.04 | 5.02 | 25.21 | ||||||||
68 | 01-08-2000 | 8 | 61.89 | 58.41 | 3.48 | 12.11 | ||||||||
69 | 01-09-2000 | 9 | 52.61 | 46.55 | 6.06 | 36.73 | ||||||||
70 | 01-10-2000 | 10 | 54.79 | 49.54 | 5.26 | 27.62 | ||||||||
71 | 01-11-2000 | 11 | 52.18 | 46.47 | 5.71 | 32.63 | ||||||||
72 | 01-12-2000 | 12 | 51.41 | 48.66 | 2.75 | 7.58 | ||||||||
73 | 01-01-2001 | 1 | 49.33 | 45.54 | 3.79 | 14.34 | ||||||||
74 | 01-02-2001 | 2 | 46.10 | 43.40 | 2.71 | 7.33 | ||||||||
75 | 01-03-2001 | 3 | 57.39 | 53.03 | 4.36 | 19.00 | ||||||||
76 | 01-04-2001 | 4 | 55.36 | 50.53 | 4.83 | 23.35 | ||||||||
77 | 01-05-2001 | 5 | 56.17 | 52.08 | 4.09 | 16.72 | ||||||||
78 | 01-06-2001 | 6 | 60.51 | 55.93 | 4.58 | 20.96 | ||||||||
79 | 01-07-2001 | 7 | 63.55 | 58.84 | 4.71 | 22.17 | ||||||||
80 | 01-08-2001 | 8 | 63.99 | 59.21 | 4.78 | 22.81 | ||||||||
81 | 01-09-2001 | 9 | 36.20 | 47.34 | -11.14 | 124.09 | ||||||||
82 | 01-10-2001 | 10 | 41.11 | 50.33 | -9.23 | 85.13 | ||||||||
83 | 01-11-2001 | 11 | 42.00 | 47.27 | -5.27 | 27.73 | ||||||||
84 | 01-12-2001 | 12 | 44.86 | 49.46 | -4.60 | 21.12 | ||||||||
85 | 01-01-2002 | 1 | 43.25 | 46.34 | -3.09 | 9.55 | ||||||||
86 | 01-02-2002 | 2 | 41.47 | 44.20 | -2.72 | 7.41 | ||||||||
87 | 01-03-2002 | 3 | 52.69 | 53.83 | -1.14 | 1.29 | ||||||||
88 | 01-04-2002 | 4 | 48.88 | 51.32 | -2.44 | 5.96 | ||||||||
89 | 01-05-2002 | 5 | 51.35 | 52.88 | -1.53 | 2.33 | ||||||||
90 | 01-06-2002 | 6 | 55.47 | 56.73 | -1.26 | 1.58 | ||||||||
91 | 01-07-2002 | 7 | 58.23 | 59.64 | -1.41 | 1.99 | ||||||||
92 | 01-08-2002 | 8 | 58.70 | 60.01 | -1.31 | 1.70 | ||||||||
93 | 01-09-2002 | 9 | 45.87 | 48.14 | -2.27 | 5.16 | ||||||||
94 | 01-10-2002 | 10 | 49.19 | 51.13 | -1.95 | 3.78 | ||||||||
95 | 01-11-2002 | 11 | 45.03 | 48.06 | -3.04 | 9.24 | ||||||||
96 | 01-12-2002 | 12 | 50.82 | 50.25 | 0.57 | 0.32 | ||||||||
97 | 01-01-2003 | 1 | 45.84 | 47.14 | -1.30 | 1.68 | ||||||||
98 | 01-02-2003 | 2 | 41.52 | 44.99 | -3.48 | 12.10 | ||||||||
99 | 01-03-2003 | 3 | 50.05 | 54.63 | -4.58 | 21.00 | ||||||||
100 | 01-04-2003 | 4 | 45.50 | 52.12 | -6.62 | 43.87 | ||||||||
101 | 01-05-2003 | 5 | 48.06 | 53.67 | -5.61 | 31.50 | ||||||||
102 | 01-06-2003 | 6 | 53.44 | 57.53 | -4.09 | 16.71 | ||||||||
103 | 01-07-2003 | 7 | 58.52 | 60.44 | -1.92 | 3.69 | ||||||||
104 | 01-08-2003 | 8 | 57.61 | 60.81 | -3.20 | 10.23 | ||||||||
105 | 01-09-2003 | 9 | 46.02 | 48.94 | -2.92 | 8.54 | ||||||||
106 | 01-10-2003 | 10 | 49.86 | 51.93 | -2.08 | 4.31 | ||||||||
107 | 01-11-2003 | 11 | 47.25 | 48.86 | -1.62 | 2.61 | ||||||||
108 | 01-12-2003 | 12 | 51.30 | 51.05 | 0.25 | 0.06 | ||||||||
109 | 01-01-2004 | 1 | 47.05 | 47.94 | -0.89 | 0.79 | ||||||||
110 | 01-02-2004 | 2 | 45.91 | 45.79 | 0.12 | 0.01 | ||||||||
111 | 01-03-2004 | 3 | 55.35 | 55.43 | -0.08 | 0.01 | ||||||||
112 | 01-04-2004 | 4 | 54.33 | 52.92 | 1.41 | ` |
I am not able to add the Multiplicative model due to character limitations in the Answer here.
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