Michelle received an inheritance of $95,000, and she
is evaluating two speculative investments- the purchase of land and
the purchase of cattle. Each investment would be for 1 year. Under
"normal" economic conditions, each dollar invested in land will
return the principle plus 20% of the principle; each dollar
invested in cattle will return the principle plus 30%. However both
investments have some risk. If economic conditions worsen, there is
an 18% probability theat she will lose everything she invested in
land and a 30% probability she would lose everything she invested
in cattle. Michelle does not want to lose more than $20,000 (on
average). She wants to know how to allocate her investment to
maximize the cash value of the investments at the end of 1
year.
Algebraically formulate this linear programming problem.
Variable
x : investment in land
y : investment in cattle
Constraint
1. x and y >= 0
2. x+y <= 95000
3. 0.18x + 0.30 y <= 20000
Objective
Maximize investment+RoI
RoI + investment from land = x * 1.2 * 0.82 + x * 0 * 0.18 = 1.2*0.82 *x
{in 82% cases, the return on land will be 1.2 times the principal and in 18% it will be 0)
similar for cattle, RoI + investment = y* 1.3 *0.70 + y * 0 * 0.30 = 1.3*0.70*y
so maximize 1.2*0.82 *x + 1.3*0.70*y
solution
variable | x | 95000 |
variable | y | 0 |
Constraint1 | x and y >= 0 | |
Constraint2 | x+y <= 95000 | 0 |
Constraint3 | 0.18x + 0.30 y <= 20000 | 2900 |
objective | maximize 1.2*0.82 *x + 1.3*0.70*y | 93480 |
optimization suggest to invest everything in land.
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