What was the increase in real purchasing power associated with both 3-month Treasury bills and 30-year Treasury bonds? Assume that the current 3-month Treasury bill rate is
5.665.66
percent, the 30-year Treasury bond rate is
8.778.77
percent, and the inflation rate is
3.683.68
percent. Also, the chief financial officer wants a short explanation should the 3-month real rate turn out to be less than the 30-year real rate.
According to Fisher equation,
(1 + nominal rate) = (1 + real rate)*(1 + inflation rate), which can be approximated to
nominal rate = real rate + inflation rate
Approximate Real purchasing power for
3 month treasury bill = 5.665.66 - 3.683.68 = 1.982%
30 - year T- Bond = 8.778 - 3.683 = 5.095%
Yes, the 3-month real rate return should be less than that of 30- year bonds. A long duration bond carries a greater risk than a short duration bill. This is basically because the inflation in the future may potentially erode the value of the payments received. There is also the increased credit risk that the payments are not made on time or not made at all
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