Consider the following Profit Payoff Table:
State of Nature
Decision Alternative
S1
S2
S3
d1
250...
Consider the following Profit Payoff Table:
State of Nature
Decision Alternative
S1
S2
S3
d1
250
100
25
d2
100
100
75
The probabilities for the states of nature are
P(S1) = 0.65,
P(S2) = 0.15, and
P(S3) = 0.20.
What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information
were available?
What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed
in part (a)?
Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended
decision without perfect information? What is its...
Q.1 Payoff Table: Choices: D1, D2, D3. States of Nature: S1, S2,
S3. Profit( in millions)...
Q.1 Payoff Table: Choices: D1, D2, D3. States of Nature: S1, S2,
S3. Profit( in millions) for each of the States of Nature are given
below: For D1: $100, $400, $500. For D2:-$100, $500, $900. For D3:
-$200, $500, $1600. P(s1)=0.4, P(s2)=0.4, P(s3)=0.2. Sample
Information Data: Market Research Firm provides following data:
conditional probabilities: P(Fav/s1)= 0.40, P(Fav/s2)= 0.5,
P(Fav/s3)= 0.9. Then P(Fav)= .54
For the data given in Q.1, compute revised probabilities, draw
the decision tree, and enter the payoff...
The following payoff table shows a profit for a decision
analysis problem with two decision alternatives...
The following payoff table shows a profit for a decision
analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of
nature. In order to get full credit, show your all work done step
by step including cell calculations using excel functions.
State of Nature
Decion Alternatives
s1
s2
s3
d1
250
100
50
d2
100
75
100
a) Construct a decision tree for this problem.
b) Suppose that the decision-maker obtains the probabilities
P(s1)=0.65, P(s2)=0.15, and P(s3)=0.20.
Use the expected...
Problem 13-01 (Algorithmic) The following payoff table shows
profit for a decision analysis problem with two...
Problem 13-01 (Algorithmic) The following payoff table shows
profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision
alternatives and three states of nature: State of Nature Decision
Alternative S1 S2 S3 d1 260 140 100 d2 170 130 50 Choose the
correct decision tree for this problem. (i) d2d1s3s2s1s3s2s1 (ii)
d2d1s3s3s2s2s1s1 (iii) s3s2s1d2d1d2d1d2d1 (iv) d2d1s3s2s1s3s2s1 If
the decision maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the
three states of nature, what is the recommended decision using the
optimistic, conservative, and...