A high school principal estimates that the dropout rate for seniors at high schools in Maryland is 14%. Last year in a random sample of 350 Maryland seniors, 34 withdrew from school. At α = 0.05, is there enough evidence to reject the principal’s claim?
Here, we have to use one sample z test for the population proportion.
The null and alternative hypotheses for this test are given as below:
H0: p = 0.14 versus Ha: p ≠ 0.14
This is a two tailed test.
We are given
Level of significance = α = 0.05
Test statistic formula for this test is given as below:
Z = (p̂ - p)/sqrt(pq/n)
Where, p̂ = Sample proportion, p is population proportion, q = 1 - p, and n is sample size
x = number of items of interest = 34
n = sample size = 350
p̂ = x/n = 34/350 = 0.097142857
p = 0.14
q = 1 - p = 0.86
Z = (p̂ - p)/sqrt(pq/n)
Z = (0.097142857 - 0.14)/sqrt(0.14*0.86/350)
Z = -2.3107
Test statistic = -2.3107
P-value = 0.0208
(by using z-table)
P-value < α = 0.05
So, we reject the null hypothesis
There is enough evidence to reject the principal’s claim.
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