Candidate A is facing two opposing candidates in a mayoral election. In a recent poll of 300 residents, 153 supported her. Construct a 90% confidence interval on the population proportion for the support of candidate A in the following election.
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 153 / 300 = 0.510
1 - = 1 - 0.510 = 0.49
Z/2 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 * (((0.510 * 0.49) / 300)
Margin of error = E = 0.047
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.510 - 0.047 < p < 0.510 + 0.047
0.463 < p < 0.557
The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : 0.463 , 0.557
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