The U.S. Department of Transportation would like to estimate the proportion of drivers that are uninsured in the state of Mississippi. A pilot sample of 60 drivers from Mississippi found that 18 were uninsured. Determine the total sample size needed to construct a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of uninsured drivers in Mississippi with a margin of error equal to 5%. (Use the z-score with three decimal places, Remember the rounding policy for sample size))
Solution :
Given that,
n = 60
x = 18
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n =18 / 60 = 0.3
1 - = 1 - 0.3 = 0.7
margin of error = E = 0.05
At 99% confidence level
= 1 - 99%
= 1 - 0.99 =0.01
/2
= 0.005
Z/2
= Z0.005 = 2.576
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (2.576 / 0.05)2 * 0.3 * 0.7
= 557.41
sample size = n = 558
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