Multiple regression was used to explain stock returns using the following variables:
• Dependent variable:
RET = annual stock returns (%)
• Independent variables:
MKT = market capitalization (per million $)
IND = industry quartile ranking (IND = 4 is the highest ranking)
FORT = Fortune 500 firm, where FORT = 1 if the stock is that of a Fortune 500
firm, and FORT = 0 if not a Fortune 500 stock.
The regression results are presented in the table below:
Coefficient |
Std Error |
t-statistic |
P-Value |
|
Intercept |
0.5220 |
1.2100 |
0.430 |
0.681 |
Market capitalization |
0.0460 |
0.0150 |
3.090 |
0.021 |
Industry Ranking |
0.7102 |
0.2725 |
2.610 |
0.040 |
Fortune 500 |
0.900 |
0.5281 |
1.700 |
0.139 |
(b) What is the closest value to the expected amount of the stock return attributable to it
being a Fortune 500 stock? Justify your answer. (5)
b) The %age of annual return on the stock attributable to being a fortune 500 stock is the coefficient of the dummy variable, Fortune 500. The coefficient is shown in the regression table, which is 0.900.
Regression equation: AR (%) = 0.5220 + 0.0460*MC + 0.7102*IR + 0.9*Fortune500
If Fortune 500 = 0 and 1, the difference in Annual return is the coefficient = 0.9
Hence, we can say that the effect of a stock being a fortune 500 stock increases the annual return by 0.9% on an average.
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