A Gallup Poll of American adults in February 2009 asked the following question. “Which of the following presidents would you regard as the greatest: Washington, Franklin Roosevelt, Lincoln, Kennedy, or Reagan?” The order of the presidents was rotated to avoid bias. Based on the sample, a 95% confidence interval for the actual proportion American adults who choose Lincoln as the greatest is given by (0.1505, 0.2214).
What is the margin of error? Give the exact answer as a decimal.
Solution :
A 95% confidence interval = (0.1505, 0.2214)
Point estimate = = (Lower confidence interval + Upper confidence interval ) / 2
Point estimate = = (0.1505 + 0.2214) / 2
Point estimate = = 0.1859
Margin of error = E = Upper confidence interval -
Margin of error = E = 0.2214 - 0.1859
Margin of error = E = 0.0355
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