A certain car model has a mean gas mileage of 31 miles per gallon (mpg) with astandard deviation 3 mpg. A pizza delivery company buys 43 of these cars. What is theprobability that the average mileage of the fleet is greater than 30.7 mpg?
Solution:
Let X be a random variable which represents the mileage of a certain car model
Given that, X ~ N(31, 32)
i.e. μ = 31 mpg and σ = 3 mpg
We have to obtain the probability that average mileage of 43 of these cars is greater than 30.7 mpg.
i.e. We have to obtain P(x̄ > 30.7 mpg).
We know that if X ~ N(μ, σ2) then x̄ ~ N(μ ,σ2/n)
And if x̄ ~ N(μ, σ2/n) then,
(Where, x̄ is sample mean and n is sample size.)
We have, μ = 31 mpg, σ = 3 mpg and n = 43
Using "pnorm" function of R we get, P(Z > -0.6557) = 0.7440
Hence, the probability that the average mileage of the fleet is greater than 30.7 mpg is 0.7440.
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