A player rolls two fair dice. He wins $1 if the product is odd and loses $1 if the product is even. What is the expected value of this game? Is this a fair game?
Die1 | Die2 | product |
1 | 1 | odd |
1 | 2 | even |
1 | 3 | odd |
1 | 4 | even |
1 | 5 | odd |
1 | 6 | even |
2 | 1 | even |
2 | 2 | even |
2 | 3 | even |
2 | 4 | even |
2 | 5 | even |
2 | 6 | even |
3 | 1 | odd |
3 | 2 | even |
3 | 3 | odd |
3 | 4 | even |
3 | 5 | odd |
3 | 6 | even |
4 | 1 | even |
4 | 2 | even |
4 | 3 | even |
4 | 4 | even |
4 | 5 | even |
4 | 6 | even |
5 | 1 | odd |
5 | 2 | even |
5 | 3 | odd |
5 | 4 | even |
5 | 5 | odd |
5 | 6 | even |
6 | 1 | even |
6 | 2 | even |
6 | 3 | even |
6 | 4 | even |
6 | 5 | even |
6 | 6 | even |
x | even(-1) | odd(+1) |
p(x) | 25/36 | 9/36 |
=
=(-25+9)/36=-0.444
expected value is -0.4444
this is not fair, expected value is negative
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