1. A soccer team estimates that they will score on 66% of the corner kicks. If this team has 197
corner kicks over the season, what are the chances that they score more than 22 times?
2. A basketball player has made 79% of his foul shots during the season. Assuming the shots are independent, what's the expected number of shots until he misses?
1)
n= | 197 | p= | 0.6600 |
here mean of distribution=μ=np= | 130.02 | |
and standard deviation σ=sqrt(np(1-p))= | 6.65 | |
for normal distribution z score =(X-μ)/σx |
therefore from normal approximation of binomial distribution and continuity correction: |
chances that they score more than 22 times:
probability =P(X>22.5)=P(Z>(22.5-130.02)/6.649)=P(Z>-16.17)=1-P(Z<-16.17)=1-0=1.0000 (almost certain) |
2)
this is Geometric distribution with parameter p=1-0.79 =0.21 |
expected number of shots until he misses=1/p =4.7619
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