A survey of 300 union members in New York State reveals that 112 favor the Republican candidate for governor. Construct the 98% confidence interval for the true population proportion of all New York State union members who favor the Republican candidate.
0.308 < p < 0.438 |
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0.304 < p < 0.442 |
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0.301 < p < 0.445 |
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0.316 < p < 0.430 |
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 112 / 300 = 0.373
1 - = 1 - 0.373 = 0.627
Z/2 = 2.326
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.326 * (((0.373 * 0.627) / 300)
Margin of error = E = 0.065
A 98% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.373 - 0.065 < p < 0.373 + 0.065
0.308 < p < 0.438
The 98% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : 0.308 , 0.438
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