Suppose you are a civil engineer, specializing in traffic volume control for the City of Birmingham. Your department has been receiving a multitude of complaints about traffic wait times for a certain intersection in the heart of downtown. To see if these claims are valid, you want to monitor the true average wait time at that intersection. Over the course of a few months, you record the average number of minutes a car waits at the intersection between 4:00 PM and 5:00 PM. With a sample size of 8 cars, the average wait time is 6.126 minutes with a standard deviation of 2.1681 minutes. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the true average wait time for a car at the intersection between 4:00 PM and 5:00 PM.
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample mean = = 6.126 minutes
sample standard deviation = s = 2.1681 minutes
sample size = n = 8
Degrees of freedom = df = n - 1 = 8 - 1 = 7
At 99% confidence level
= 1 - 99%
=1 - 0.99 =0.01
/2
= 0.005
t/2,df
= t0.005,7 = 3.499
Margin of error = E = t/2,df * (s /n)
= 3.499 * ( 2.1681/ 8)
Margin of error = E = 2.682
The 99% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
± E
= 6.126 ± 2.682
=( 3.444, 8.808 ) minutes.
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