According to a candy company, packages of a certain candy contain 18% orange candies. Find the approximate probability that the random sample of 100 candies will contain 23% or more orange candies. Using a normal approximation, what is the probability that at least 23% of 100 randomly sampled candies will be orange?
P( orange candy)=0.18
n=100
Let x be the number of orange candies in 100 random sample.
X~ Bin(100, 0.18)
P( contain 23% or more orange candy) = P( X >= 23) = 0.1223 ( usin a binomial table)
BY NORMAL APPROXIMATION
X~ Normal( np, np(1-p))
~ Normal ( 18, 14.76)
P( contain 23% or more orange candy) = P( X >= 23)
= P ( X > 22.5) using continuity correction
= P( (X-mu)/ sigma > (22.5-18) / sqrt(14.76))
= P( Z > 1.17)
= 1- P( Z < 1.17)
= 1- 0.87900
= 0.121
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