Suppose the contact rate for a phone survey is 72% and that 28% of people will participate in the survey. Assume that agreeing or not agreeing to participate is independent of whether the house is contacted.
a) What is the probability that the next house will be contacted and refuse to cooperate?
b) What is the probability of failing to contact a house, or making contact and not getting them to agree to the interview?
Remember that , for independen events the probability that both occur is the product of the individual probabilities .
## a) .What is the probability that the next house will be contacted and refuse to cooperate?
Answer :
Probability of being contacted : 72 % = 0.72
Probability of refusing : 1 - 0.28 % = 0.72
Combined probability = ( 0.72 * 0.72 ) = 0.5184
### b) What is the probability of failing to contact a house, or making contact and not getting them to agree to the interview?
Answer :
The probability of failing to conduct or making contact and not geeting them to agree
1 - the probability of contacting and getting them to agree
the probability of contacting and getting them to agree is = 0.72 * 0.28 = 0.2016
the answer to this question is : 1 - 0.2016 = 0.7984
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