The article "Should You Report That Fender-Bender?"† reported
that 7 in 10 auto accidents involve a single vehicle. Suppose 11
accidents are randomly selected. (Round your answers to five
decimal places.)
(a)
What is the probability that exactly four involve a single
vehicle?
(b)
What is the probability that at most four involve a single
vehicle?
(c)
What is the probability that exactly five involve multiple
vehicles?
Answer:
Given,
Binomial distribution P(X = x) = nCx*p^x*q^(n-x)
n = 11
p = 7/10
= 0.7
q = 1 - p
= 1 - 0.7
= 0.3
a)
To give P(X = 4) = 11C4*0.7^4*0.3^(11-4)
= 11C4*0.4^4*0.3^7
= 330*0.4^4*0.3^7
= 0.0018
b)
P(X <= 4) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)
= 11C0*0.7^0*0.3^11 + 11C1*0.7^1*0.3^10 + 11C2*0.7^2*0.3^9 + 11C3*0.7^3*0.3^8 + 11C4*0.7^4*0.3^7
= 0.3^11 + 11*0.7*0.3^10 + 55*0.7^2*0.3^9 + 165*0.7^2*0.3^9 + 330*0.7^4*0.3^7
= 0.000002 + 0.00005 + 0.0005 + 0.0016 + 0.0173
= 0.0195
c)
P(X = 5) = 11C5*0.7^5*0.3^(11-5)
= 462*0.7^5*0.3^6
= 0.0566
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