The Ohio lottery has a game called Pick 4 where a player pays $2 and picks a four-digit number. If the four numbers come up in the order you picked, then you win $1500. What is your expected value? Round to the nearest cent, if necessary. The expected value is $
Number possible four-digit numbers (0000 to 9999) : 10000
Number of possible four numbers come up in the order you picked = 1
Therefore Probability of winning $1500 = 1/10000= 0.0001
Cost to pay the game = $2
Net value = $1500 - $2 = $1498
X : Net value
P(X=$1498) = 0.0001
Probability of not winning = 1 - Probability of winning $1500 = 1-0.0001 = 0.9999
Cost to play the game =$2
Net value = -$2
P(X =-$2) = 0.9999
Therefore Probability distribution of X
x | P(x) |
1498 | 0.0001 |
-2 | 0.9999 |
Expected Value = E(X)
Expected value = $-1.85
The expected value is $-1.85
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