Question

An investor holds two stocks, each of which can rise (R), remain unchanged (U), or decline...

An investor holds two stocks, each of which can rise (R), remain unchanged (U), or decline (D) on any particular day.

Assume that for the first stock (on a particular day)

P(R) = 0.4 , P(U) = 0.5 , P(D ) = 0.1

and that for the second stock (on a particular day)

P(R) = 0.3 , P(U) = 0.4 , P(D ) = 0.3

Assuming that these stocks move independently, find the probability that both stocks decline; the probability that exactly one stock rises; the probability that exactly one stock is unchanged; the probability that both stocks rise. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)

Homework Answers

Answer #1

ANSWER:

1)

Both decline = P1(D) * P2(D)

= 0.1 * 0.3

= 0.03
(stock 1 declines AND stock 2 declines)

2)

Exactly one rises = P1(R) * [P2(U) + P2(D)] + P2(R) *[P1(U) + P1(D)]

= 0.4*[0.4+ 0.3] + 0.3*[0.5 + 0.1]

= 0.28 + 0.18

= 0.46
(stock 1 rises AND {stock 2 declines or remains unchanged}) OR (stock 2 rises AND {stock 1 declines or remains unchanged})

3)

Exactly one unchanged = P1(U) * [P2(R) + P2(D)] + P2(U) *[P1(R) + P1(D)]

= 0.5*[0.3 + 0.3] + 0.4*[0.4 + 0.1]

= 0.3 + 0.2

= 0.5

4)

Both rise = P1(R)*P2(R)

= 0.4 * 0.3

= 0.12

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