Trials in an experiment with a polygraph include 97 results that include 22 cases of wrong results and 75 cases of correct results. Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that such polygraph results are correct less than 80% of the time. Identify test statistic, P-value, conclusion about the null hypothesis, and final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Use the P-value method. Use the normal distribution as an approximation of the binomial distribution.
Solution :
This is the left tailed test .
The null and alternative hypothesis is
H0 : p = 0.80
Ha : p < 0.80
= x / n = 75 / 97 = 0.7732
Test statistic = z
= - P0 / [P0 * (1 - P0 ) / n]
= 0.7732 - 0.80 / [(0.80 * 0.20) / 97]
= -0.66
P(z < -0.66) = 0.2546
P-value = 0.2546
= 0.01
P-value >
Fail to reject the null hypothesis .
There is not sufficient evidence to suggest that the claim that such polygraph results are correct less than 80% of the time .
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