Question

1.   There are two major websites that use mathematical models to predict the price of houses...

1.   There are two major websites that use mathematical models to predict the price of houses based on things like # of bedrooms, square feet, location, what similar houses sell for, all kinds of variables. You’re going to select a sample of houses and see which website predicts better.

a.   Decide on a location for your sample. Anywhere in the US works. Write the location here.
Fresno, CA

b.   Go to www.zillow.com and check “Recently Sold.” Randomly select at least 15 homes that have recently sold and record the Zestimate and selling price. Then go to redfin.com and find the Redfin Estimate for the same 15 houses. (Note that on both websites you can filter houses by if they are for sale or if they have sold.)

Home#1 Zestimate Redfin Estimate Sale Price
1 367,846 252,554 335,000
2 314,085 293,763 295,000
3 327,343 337,693 350,000
4 270,548 259,655 260,000
5 153,270 146,012 142,500
6 133,920 118,487 106,500
7 230,040 234,905 225,000
8 1,429,459 1,259,453 1.35M
9 135,240 130,020 134,000
10 210,515 214,877 212,000
11 344,369 308,848 342,000
12 279,008 265,839 270,000
13 406,836 265,566 395,000
14 301,213 286,458 277,500
15 156,575 198,387 190,000

c.   Create a scatterplot. Put the Zestimate on the horizontal axis and the Sale Price on the vertical axis. Be sure your plot has axis labels and a title. Paste the plots here. (You can copy-paste from Excel or Google Docs, or a similar tool. Hand-drawn is only acceptable if it’s done with very high precision. Calculator screens won’t look good at all for this.)
d.   Do the same with the Redfin estimate and the Sale Price.
e.   Based on the scatterplots, does it look like one of the two sites is better, or are they about the same? Answer in complete sentences.
f.   Are there any outliers in either plot? If so, identify them. Answer in complete sentences.
g.   Calculate the correlation coefficient for each plot. Put the results in a sentence or two and explain what these values mean, in relation to the plots.
h.   Pick one of the two plots. Are the conditions for linear regression met? Explain in 1 – 5 sentences.
i.   Find the equation of the least-squares regression line.
j.   Interpret the slope of the line in a sentence.
k.   Interpret the intercept of the line in a sentence.


Homework Answers

Answer #1

c.

d.

e. They are both the same

f. Yes, there is an outlier in both the plots. The outlier is home 8 which has zestimate as 1429459,redfin estimate as 1259453 and sales is 1.35M

g. Correlation coefficient for Zestimate and sales is 0.9984 .

Correlation coefficient for Redfin estimate and sales is 0.9916 .

h. Yes, the plot of zestimate - sales satisfies the condition of linear regression as they form a straight line i.e., they are normally distributed along the regression line. Also the correlation coefficient supports the linear regression.

i. The regression equation is y = 0.9392 x + 8793.5 where y is sales and x is zestimate.

j. The slope is 0.9392 which means that a unit increase in zestimate there is 0.9392 increase in sales.

k. The intercept is 8793.5, the expected mean value of Y when X is o.

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