1. There are two major websites that use mathematical models to predict the price of houses based on things like # of bedrooms, square feet, location, what similar houses sell for, all kinds of variables. You’re going to select a sample of houses and see which website predicts better.
a. Decide on a location for your sample. Anywhere in
the US works. Write the location here.
Fresno, CA
b. Go to www.zillow.com and check “Recently Sold.”
Randomly select at least 15 homes that have recently sold and
record the Zestimate and selling price. Then go to redfin.com and
find the Redfin Estimate for the same 15 houses. (Note that on both
websites you can filter houses by if they are for sale or if they
have sold.)
Home#1 | Zestimate | Redfin Estimate | Sale Price |
1 | 367,846 | 252,554 | 335,000 |
2 | 314,085 | 293,763 | 295,000 |
3 | 327,343 | 337,693 | 350,000 |
4 | 270,548 | 259,655 | 260,000 |
5 | 153,270 | 146,012 | 142,500 |
6 | 133,920 | 118,487 | 106,500 |
7 | 230,040 | 234,905 | 225,000 |
8 | 1,429,459 | 1,259,453 | 1.35M |
9 | 135,240 | 130,020 | 134,000 |
10 | 210,515 | 214,877 | 212,000 |
11 | 344,369 | 308,848 | 342,000 |
12 | 279,008 | 265,839 | 270,000 |
13 | 406,836 | 265,566 | 395,000 |
14 | 301,213 | 286,458 | 277,500 |
15 | 156,575 | 198,387 | 190,000 |
c. Create a scatterplot. Put the Zestimate on the
horizontal axis and the Sale Price on the vertical axis. Be sure
your plot has axis labels and a title. Paste the plots here. (You
can copy-paste from Excel or Google Docs, or a similar tool.
Hand-drawn is only acceptable if it’s done with very high
precision. Calculator screens won’t look good at all for
this.)
d. Do the same with the Redfin estimate and the Sale
Price.
e. Based on the scatterplots, does it look like one of
the two sites is better, or are they about the same? Answer in
complete sentences.
f. Are there any outliers in either plot? If so,
identify them. Answer in complete sentences.
g. Calculate the correlation coefficient for each plot.
Put the results in a sentence or two and explain what these values
mean, in relation to the plots.
h. Pick one of the two plots. Are the conditions for
linear regression met? Explain in 1 – 5 sentences.
i. Find the equation of the least-squares regression
line.
j. Interpret the slope of the line in a sentence.
k. Interpret the intercept of the line in a
sentence.
c.
d.
e. They are both the same
f. Yes, there is an outlier in both the plots. The outlier is home 8 which has zestimate as 1429459,redfin estimate as 1259453 and sales is 1.35M
g. Correlation coefficient for Zestimate and sales is 0.9984 .
Correlation coefficient for Redfin estimate and sales is 0.9916 .
h. Yes, the plot of zestimate - sales satisfies the condition of linear regression as they form a straight line i.e., they are normally distributed along the regression line. Also the correlation coefficient supports the linear regression.
i. The regression equation is y = 0.9392 x + 8793.5 where y is sales and x is zestimate.
j. The slope is 0.9392 which means that a unit increase in zestimate there is 0.9392 increase in sales.
k. The intercept is 8793.5, the expected mean value of Y when X is o.
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