A brochure inviting subscriptions for a new diet program states
that
the participants are expected to lose over 22 pounds in five weeks.
The statement
in the brochure will be accepted if the mean five-week weight loss
of 100
randomly selected participants exceeds 24 pounds. Assume that the
standard
deviation of the five-week weight losses is 12 pounds.
(a) Set up the null and alternative hypotheses.
(b) Compute the probability of Type I error for the indicated
test.
(c) Compute the probability of Type II error for the indicated test
when the true
mean weight loss, after five weeks under the diet, is 23
pounds.
here
(a) Null Hypothesis : H0 : Mean five week weight loss which is expected to loose is not more than 22 pounds in five weeks. 22pounds
ALterntive Hypothesis : Ha : Mean five week weight loss which is expected to loose is more than 22 pounds in five weeks. > 22 pounds
(b) Here n = 100
standard deviation = 12 pounds
standard error of mean = 12/sqrt(100) = 1.2 pounds
critical range is for more than 24 pounds
Pr(TYpe I error) = Pr( > 24 pounds; 22 pounds ; 1.2 pounds)
Z = (24 - 22)/1.2 = 1.6667
Pr(Type I error) = Pr(Z >1.6667) = 0.0478
Type I error of 0.0478
(c) Here if real weight loss is 23 pounds
so here
Pr(TYpe II error) = Pr( < 24 pounds ; 23 pounds ; 1.2 pounds)
Z = (24 - 23)/1.2 = 0.8333
Pr(Type II error) = Pr(Z < 0.8333) = 0.7977
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